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Hello!
Trade Alert: Viggle Inc. [ NASDAQ: VGGL ]
VGGL presents us with what I believe appears to be an increased probability to witness a bounce trade opportunity judging by the present potentially oversold chart setup which has experienced consolidation during the past week.
Highlights:
- Last Close: 1.36 | Yahoo Finance Quote
- Support 1: 1.28
- Resistance 1: 1.50; Resistance 2: 1.74; Resistance 3: 1.83
- VGGL is trading at a bottom of the trading channel characterized by a tentative support area that has been building during the past week.
- Current support has existed since mid-April of 2015 which was followed by a one day gain opportunity of 60%. Additionally, in November 2014 VGGL rallied 113% in one day.
- While past is NOT prologue, historical context is critical to realizing and understanding opportunity that may be available at present.
- RSI (Relative Strength Indicator) currently measures 35 on the daily chart for VGGL - indicative of potential undervaluation (with a number closer to 70 resembling overbought conditions).
- VGGL has witnessed rather stable volume levels during present consolidation - that could be considered a first movers advantage for us.
- VGGL has a short interest of almost 15% with a float of only 14 million shares - this could result in tremendous upside volatility.
- Depending on circumstance, if a short squeeze (high volatility) situation ensues on massive momentum we could potentially see a move even higher as we saw with VGGL in April and November, if that happens here are some additional key levels: Resistance 4: 1.90; Resistance 5: 2.30.
July 23rd: With Over 9.5 Million Registered Users, Viggle Expects Fiscal 2015 Revenue to Increase More Than 40% Year-Over-Year to $25.6 Million
Key metrics for the fiscal fourth quarter ended June 30, 2015 were:
- Average monthly total reach for F4Q 2015 was 23.6 million, compared with 17.7 million in the year-ago quarter, a 33% increase, and 25.7 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2015.
- Average active reach in the quarter was 10.2 million compared with 6.4 million for F4Q 2014, an increase of 60%, and compared with 10.6 million in F3Q 2015.
- Almost 600,000 new users registered on the Viggle platform, bringing net registered users to more than 9.5 million, compared with 5.4 million net registered users as of the end of the year-ago fourth quarter, an increase of 78 percent.
- As of June 30, 2015, Viggle users have cumulatively checked into more than 504 million TV programs and matched more than 188 million songs using the Viggle Music service. Overall, users’ average time in the Viggle app has been nearly 65 minutes per session.
- As of June 30, 2015, users have cumulatively redeemed more than 64 billion points for approximately 5 million rewards, an average of 12,940 points per reward redemption. The total retail value of rewards redeemed through June 30, 2015 is approximately $26 million.
About VGGL
VGGL is an entertainment marketing and rewards platform whose app rewards its members for watching TV shows and discovering new music.
The Viggle Platform had an average monthly total reach of 23.6 million for the three months ended June 30, 2015, including nearly 10 million Viggle registered users. Since its launch, Viggle members have redeemed over $26 million in rewards for watching their favorite TV programs and listening to music. Members can use Viggle’s store, accessible through the Viggle app or on Viggle.com, to redeem their Viggle Points for TV show, movie, and music downloads.
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Gain Tracker
YTD: 11 Alerts for 151% Gains
April: 3 Alerts for 43% Gains
May: 4 Alerts for 13% Gains
June: 1 Alert for -5% Gains
July: 2 Alert for 17% Gains
August: 1 Alerts for 22% Gains
Trading Rules [Please Review Before Taking Action]:
- All of my alerts are short-term, either day or swing trades.
- Keep calm. Decide for yourself if you like the trade. If you are not comfortable with the perceived risks, stay out.
- If you decide to trade, trade with a strategy in mind. All strategies are outdated the minute they are created. Make sure to stay realistic with the changing market circumstances.
- Always use limit orders (buy and sell). Protecting your investment is more important than missing gains. Use "trailing stop %" or "trailing stop $" orders.
Note: If you are unable to place an order using your online brokerage interface and are instead required to call the broker or go through extra hoops then it may be best to stay away from the trade alert on grounds that you are losing valuable time to secure the best potential gain opportunity.
Happy Trading And Stay Awesome!
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